Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.991420 3.343896 3.725299 4.169317 4.672844 5.227051 5.884513
2024-10-20 2.444004 2.906031 3.441212 4.109382 4.924631 5.891247 7.130442
2024-10-27 2.011933 2.502507 3.099872 3.885455 4.898193 6.168974 7.898697
2024-11-03 1.795111 2.317603 2.980819 3.891887 5.122484 6.743383 9.067166
2024-11-10 1.661667 2.215879 2.945303 3.986500 5.452245 7.468468 10.497713
2024-11-17 1.530627 2.099281 2.871704 4.012020 5.677079 8.057719 11.788422
2024-11-24 1.420492 1.998056 2.805226 4.033817 5.888724 8.636823 13.115099
2024-12-01 1.325060 1.907239 2.742313 4.049624 6.085376 9.203010 14.473442
2024-12-08 1.213760 1.782810 2.618017 3.958572 6.104495 9.490045 15.406484
2024-12-15 1.134556 1.699143 2.546281 3.939129 6.229245 9.948613 16.663664
2024-12-22 1.059729 1.615858 2.467558 3.899700 6.314205 10.344170 17.848128
2024-12-29 1.035260 1.608758 2.506275 4.051883 6.728375 11.328497 20.184599
2025-01-05 0.975721 1.542814 2.448131 4.041879 6.871109 11.868483 21.795281
2025-01-12 0.915816 1.471989 2.376697 4.002970 6.959018 12.318799 23.291335
2025-01-19 0.829320 1.351032 2.212915 3.789200 6.711222 12.126240 23.495853
2025-01-26 0.789820 1.306559 2.175432 3.796243 6.869428 12.709962 25.338511
2025-02-02 0.767755 1.290252 2.184942 3.888445 7.195158 13.647215 28.035384
2025-02-09 0.736585 1.255772 2.159677 3.913305 7.391619 14.345666 30.304663
2025-02-16 0.707220 1.222449 2.133910 3.934515 7.581570 15.047834 32.670680
2025-02-23 0.679162 1.189587 2.106527 3.949892 7.760045 15.742115 35.107554
2025-03-02 0.639012 1.132062 2.029574 3.861323 7.714587 15.950527 36.418079
2025-03-09 0.610984 1.095294 1.989133 3.842409 7.813515 16.482570 38.581779
2025-03-16 0.582446 1.055859 1.941046 3.804052 7.866647 16.916162 40.555538